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League OneT-7dlineups pending

Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County

Saturday 19 Sep, 14:00 UTC · Hillsborough Stadium

Referee not appointedWeather pending
Most probable outcome
STOCKPORT COUNTY WIN

Outcome distribution

Calibrated 1X2 probabilities

33.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
26.1%
Draw
40.3%
Stockport County
Home xG
1.62
Away xG
1.56
Likely score
1–1
10.8%
Completeness
71.9%
input coverage

Why the model says this

Ranked contributing factors

  • Sheffield Wednesday attacking output+21

    1.81 xG and 1.81 goals per match over the last 11.

  • Stockport County defensive record-23

    0.97 xG and 0.97 goals conceded per match.

  • Sheffield Wednesday home record+16

    11.3 scored / 9.1 conceded across 7 home matches.

  • Stockport County away record-21

    17.5 scored / 12.5 conceded across 12 away matches.

  • Squad availability+2

    Sheffield Wednesday: Louie Barry (out) · Stockport County: Ryan Rydel  (out), Brad Hills  (out)

  • Squad depth+0

    Sheffield Wednesday: 30 registered, 0 regular starters, fit cover 3GK/11DEF/7MID/7FWD, 0% of squad minutes unavailable · Stockport County: 28 registered, 0 regular starters, fit cover 3GK/8DEF/7MID/8FWD, 0% of squad minutes unavailable

  • Recent transfer activity-8

    Sheffield Wednesday: 11 in (3 on loan), 17 out including 0 regulars — Jaden Heskey from Manchester City U21, Reece James from Rotherham United, Ashley Maynard-Brewer to Gillingham · Stockport County: 10 in (2 on loan), 12 out including 0 regulars — Arttu Hoskonen to TBC, Mikael Mandron from St. Mirren, Jayden Fevrier to Blackburn Rovers

  • Sheffield Wednesday last 11 played+36

    W W W L L — 1.93 scored / 1.21 conceded per match, 2.00 points per game (recency weighted).

  • Stockport County last 2 played-100

    W D — 3.31 scored / 0.00 conceded per match, 2.66 points per game (recency weighted).

  • Model agreementneutral

    Elo 37% · form 35% · goal model 39% · results history 16% for the home win.

  • Expected attacking output+2

    Goal-expectancy model: Sheffield Wednesday 1.62 xG, Stockport County 1.56 xG.

Most likely outcomes

Ranked by model probability · confidence is per outcome, from the raw sample behind it

    Betting parameters

    Full-time 1X2 and derived result combinations.

    Probabilities are model estimates from the same score distribution as the 1X2 line. KICK90 publishes likelihoods, not tips.

    Team comparison

    Last-10 window

    MetricSheffield WednesdayStockport County
    Elo16061646
    Record6W 1D 4L15W 9D 4L
    Goals for / against19.86227436749448 / 13.8976984065523149.844410334766174 / 27.087902661959742
    xG for / againstDATA UNAVAILABLEDATA UNAVAILABLE
    Possession46%55%
    Rest daysDATA UNAVAILABLEDATA UNAVAILABLE
    Venue split7 matches, 11.304569852488338–9.12966540291553112 matches, 17.532838253172375–12.526195942797072

    AI briefing

    The model explains the numbers — it does not produce them

    Generate a written analyst briefing that separates verified data from interpretation.

    Confidence

    Separation · completeness · model agreement

    45Low

    Confidence reflects how strongly the evidence points one way — not how attractive the outcome is. It rises as lineups confirm and data completeness improves.

    Probability evolution

    How the answer moved toward kickoff

    • T-7dcompleteness 71.9%
      33.6% / 26.1% / 40.3%

    Squad availability

    Weighted by importance and output

    Sheffield Wednesday
    • Louie Barry Attackerout
    Stockport County
    • Ryan Rydel  Defenderout
    • Brad Hills  Defenderout

    Availability impact: 1.7% home attack, 2.8% away attack.